The 2005 Brokerage Performance Report,
an analysis of the nation’s top performing residential real
estate companies, is at the printer and while containing no startling
news for the industry and its leaders does support the notion that
2004 was a very good year overall for fellow broker/owners with
some promises that ’05 and ’06 could continue that trend
or be even better.
Three significant pieces of data are worth recognition. While greater
detail of each of these is contained in this year’s report,
a quick overview should be helpful as companies begin to plan for
the coming year or look to longer range strategic planning.
The first data is that the average reported profit (net operating
income before owner‘s compensation) increased significantly
over 2003 to an average for those participants in the study to 7.8%
of gross commission income.
The second number with significance is that the retained company
dollar percentage also increased. This is important in light of
the fact that there continues downward pressure on company dollar
from agents seeking greater compensation and the rush to recruit
experienced agents at what can appear at times to be “any
cost”.
The third important factor and one which is commented on in the
report but really is substantiated through the Real Trends Big Broker
Report is that the effective commission rate per closed revenue
side continued a three year upward movement. Though very modest
it at least did not head downward as had been the case for years
1991-2001.
Are we trending in the right direction? Hopefully so. In years
past the profitability of real estate brokerage companies was questionable
or even considered a loss leader for advancing core services such
as mortgage or title operations. A steady increase in profitability
over the past three years that the Brokerage Performance Report
has been conducted is encouraging.
How much of this increase in profits is derived from the rising
tide of price appreciation is not known nor was it calculated. Certainly
it has some bearing on the matter. The latest data from the Office
of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) showed a stunning
12.5% rise in housing prices over the past year, which is the largest
calendar year rise in more than 25 years. Moreover, prices have
risen 8.3% on average for the past 5 years, despite a recession
and extremely sluggish economic recovery.
There were certainly come cautious warnings from the report as
well. Some will be addressed in later issues of Real Trends but
one significant one is the continuous slide in per person productivity.
As an industry we are not very efficient. The 2005 Big Broker Report
containing data on over 500 of the largest real estate companies
continued to show the per person productivity slide over the past
4 years ending last year at 10.8 transaction units closed per agent
(302,000 agents) or less than one per month. This reduction continues
to put pressure on companies to be more observant for cost controls.
As the planning dates roll around for 2006 you and your management
staff may wish to embark on some new ground. Budgeting for retained
company dollar of effective commission rate % are solid expectations
that should be communicated to management in addition to just the
dollars and cents. Budget for profit both in terms of dollars and
as a % of gross commission income. Why must profit be a simple calculation
of subtracting operating expenses from company dollar to see what
you have left? Is 8% or 10% a reasonable number to set as the target
or plan for your company? There were several respondents in the
this year’s Brokerage Performance Report with net operating
profit in excess of 20% of gross commission income and they consisted
of multi-brands and non-branded companies. If we set the goal beyond
what we may think is the reach of our company who is to say that
it can not be achieved?
If there is a “housing bubble” as some may suggest
or if there is not is this something that we can control? We can
plan for 2006 and beyond based on known facts and data and what
our vision may be. Interest rates have been a variable in the business
forever but it is up to us to plan accordingly remembering that
real estate brokerage is a capitalistic enterprise and as such we
are entitled to reap a profit.
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